Opec again lowers 2026 global oil demand growth forecast | Gulf Times
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GCC CONTEXT
OPEC's repeated downward revisions to demand forecasts reflect persistent headwinds from slower economic growth, energy efficiency gains, and the transition away from oil in key markets—dynamics that directly pressure the revenue bases of GCC oil exporters whose fiscal frameworks and development spending depend heavily on crude prices. Historically, demand forecast reductions from OPEC have preceded periods of crude price volatility and supply management adjustments within the cartel, creating uncertainty for Gulf downstream investments, petrochemical expansion plans, and sovereign wealth fund allocations. The structural challenge for GCC economies lies in the growing disconnect between traditional oil demand assumptions and the pace of global energy transition, a tension that shapes long-
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