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IMF warns Middle East conflict shock to persist through 2026, no quick return to pre-crisis oil prices

April 13, 2026·Economy Middle EastEconomy

Disclaimer

This news item is AI-rewritten from public sources for GCC context. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

GCC CONTEXT

Sustained regional tensions threaten to keep oil price volatility elevated through 2026, potentially constraining government revenues and investment returns across GCC energy and downstream sectors. GCC investors should anticipate prolonged macroeconomic headwinds and consider diversification beyond hydrocarbons, particularly into non-oil segments like finance, real estate, and technology that offer relative insulation from geopolitical shocks. The IMF's extended outlook underscores the importance of tactical positioning and sector rotation in navigating an uncertain medium-term environment for Gulf markets.

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