IEA warns Hormuz risks persist as oil supply losses hit 12.8 million bpd despite 290 million-barrel release
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GCC CONTEXT
Disruptions to Hormuz Strait transit represent a structural risk factor for GCC oil exporters, through which roughly one-third of globally traded seaborne crude passes; historical precedent suggests supply shocks of this magnitude typically trigger volatility across regional energy-linked equities, currencies, and downstream sectors. The International Energy Agency's tracking of cumulative supply losses relative to strategic reserve releases reflects the persistent gap between supply disruption intensity and demand-side mitigation tools available to markets, a dynamic that has historically shaped energy price formation and fiscal revenue stability across Gulf economies.
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